Author: Yuval Taylor

  • How to Design a Fundamentals-Based Strategy that Really Works, Part One: Factor Design

    I have been using a strictly quantitative process to buy and sell stocks for the last six years, with excellent results: I have a CAGR of 46% over that period, and have made over $3 million. In this series of articles, I’m going to give you a point-by-point method by…

  • The Cost of Equity: Rethinking the Conventional Wisdom

    Overview Analysts and investors have long puzzled over the difficulties of calculating the cost of equity. The cost of equity is an essential component of the cost of capital, and the cost of capital is essential if we want to know the present value of an investment. In this article,…

  • Predicting Growth

    If you were given a crystal ball that would accurately predict a company’s growth over the next year, you would logically invest in those companies with the highest growth and short those with the lowest. Portfolio123 recently allowed this kind of crystal-ball prediction in its backtesting by allowing negative numbers…

  • Red Bull Investing: Why the Riskiest Stocks Have Been Vastly Outperforming Safe Ones

    Let’s say you believed that the higher the risk, the higher the reward. Let’s say you loved taking risks. Let’s say you participated in all the Red Bull–sponsored extreme sporting events you could, and you watched those you couldn’t participate in. And you drank their sodas like water, regardless of…

  • The “Factor Zoo”: Some Thoughts on “Is There a Replication Crisis in Finance?”

    A few months ago three researchers published an astonishingly ambitious and compendious paper called “Is There a Replication Crisis in Finance?” (Their names are Theis Jensen, Bryan Kelly, and Lasse Pedersen; two are at the Copenhagen Business School, one is at Yale, and two also work for AQR Capital Management.)…

  • Did What Works on Wall Street Stop Working?

    This article is the sixth in a series about screens designed by famous investors. The first, on Benjamin Graham, can be found here; the second, on William O’Neil, can be found here; the third, on Joel Greenblatt, can be found here; the fourth, on Ken Fisher, can be found here;…

  • Waiting for Fair Value

    The idea behind value investing is that you buy a stock well below its fair value, wait for it to appreciate to something close to its fair value, and then sell it. The natural questions, then, are: How long does this process take? How often does it actually happen? Why…

  • Why Piotroski’s F-Score No Longer Works

    This article is the fourth in a series about screens designed by famous investors. The first, on Benjamin Graham, can be found here; the second, on William O’Neil, can be found here; the third, on Joel Greenblatt, can be found here; the fourth, on Ken Fisher, can be found here;…

  • Super Stocks: A New Assessment of Ken Fisher’s Pioneering Book

    This article is the fourth in a series about screens designed by famous investors. The first, on Benjamin Graham, can be found here; the second, on William O’Neil, can be found here; the third, on Joel Greenblatt, can be found here; and for an overview of the subject, see my…

  • 20 Things I Learned in 2020 (About Investing, That Is)

    2020 was an insane year on a lot of levels: the pandemic, the impeachment proceedings, the massive unemployment, the killings on America’s streets, the hubris of law enforcement, the rampant misinformation, the contesting of the election results . . . But it was an insane year on a personal level…